Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 38% on 23 Jul 2025 and the low 27% on 9 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 34.5% on 10 Aug 2025. $149.07K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 4:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 12 Aug 2025, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | 36.5% |
| 12 Aug 2025 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 102.59K |
| singularityman | Yes | 5.73K |
| pmkt1939 | Yes | 3.28K |
| torrest | Yes | 3.2K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in July 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/july-inflation-monthly
| lineth | Yes | 2.93K |
| somuchmoney | Yes | 2.52K |
| BettingForTuition | Yes | 1.32K |
| trae2506 | Yes | 1.05K |
| rightallthetime | Yes | 546.76 |
| fumeurdherb | Yes | 500 |
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