Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 129.69 | $0.231 | $30 | Mar 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 128.21 |
| $0.390 |
| $50 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 480.95 | $0.210 | $101 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.31 | $0.574 | $8.79 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.290 | $8.79 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 48.92 | $0.740 | $36.2 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 26.66 | $0.780 | $20.79 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.690 | $7.67 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 56.39 | $0.355 | $20 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | sell | 18.75 | $0.870 | $16.31 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 18.08 | $0.590 | $10.67 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | buy | 96.77 | $0.310 | $30 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 17.74 | $0.770 | $13.66 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.710 | $10.44 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?No | buy | 70.84 | $0.368 | $26.1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 19.73 | $0.770 | $15.19 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?No | sell | 18.49 | $0.590 | $10.91 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?No | buy | 18.49 | $0.620 | $11.47 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No | sell | 7.81 | $0.710 | $5.55 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 15.87 | $0.700 | $11.11 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.260 | $4.81 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.620 | $3.65 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 17.74 | $0.620 | $11 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.800 | $15 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 19.74 | $0.760 | $15 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | sell | 22.84 | $0.930 | $21.24 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?Down | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.065 | $4.31 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | buy | 22.84 | $0.438 | $10 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.700 | $12.73 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 18.08 | $0.553 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?Yes | buy | 580.53 | $0.017 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on July 14?Down | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |