Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 49% on 1 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 65% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 27% on 5 Mar 2026.
305 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 7:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Mar 2026 – 7 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Skinny-Class | Yes | 20.89K |
| exmos1 | Yes | 10.44K |
| zhuangzhuang123 | Yes | 5.96K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 4.43K |
| tetrose | Yes | 4.33K |
| Ugly-Kill | Yes | 4.2K |
| MatanE | Yes | 4.17K |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 3.98K |
| Cosmic Scout D889 | Yes | 2.99K |
| Firm-Tailbud | Yes | 2.12K |
