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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 102.28 | $0.360 | $36.31 | -$0.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 0.24 | $0.380 | $0.09 | 12m ago |
 |
| No |
| 38.8 |
| $0.680 |
| $28.13 |
| +$1.75 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 31.19 | $0.890 | $27.6 | -$0.16 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 39.11 | $0.583 | $24.05 | +$1.25 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 30.95 | $0.701 | $21.51 | -$0.2 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 22.68 | $0.837 | $19.85 | +$0.87 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 20.84 | $0.643 | $19.84 | +$6.43 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 52.55 | $0.597 | $19.47 | -$11.9 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 38.07 | $0.483 | $17.7 | -$0.69 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 101.34 | $0.145 | $15.71 | +$0.98 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 68.27 | $0.260 | $15.36 | -$2.39 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | No | 15.84 | $0.720 | $14.57 | +$3.17 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 13.33 | $0.900 | $13.32 | +$1.33 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 24.67 | $0.670 | $12.95 | -$3.58 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 41.06 | $0.281 | $12.93 | +$1.38 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 14.24 | $0.706 | $12.89 | +$2.83 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.72 | $0.881 | $12.87 | +$0.78 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? | No | 12.54 | $0.958 | $12.35 | +$0.33 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 15.85 | $0.410 | $11.73 | +$5.23 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 13.63 | $0.734 | $10.7 | +$0.7 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 60.51 | $0.345 | $10.59 | -$10.3 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 15.86 | $0.660 | $10.39 | -$0.08 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 13.55 | $0.560 | $9.15 | +$1.56 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 16.22 | $0.380 | $9 | +$2.84 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 29.85 | $0.313 | $8.96 | -$0.38 |
| sell |
| 0.06 |
| $0.730 |
| $0.04 |
| 13m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 4.91 | $0.710 | $3.49 | 15m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 6.61 | $0.710 | $4.69 | 15m ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | 22m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.767 | $10.65 | 23m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.650 | $5.3 | 39m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.660 | $6.19 | 41m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.390 | $1.03 | 41m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 6.64 | $0.760 | $5.05 | 45m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.580 | $1.04 | 45m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.740 | $1.01 | 45m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.710 | $3.81 | 49m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.390 | $1.15 | 52m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.350 | $1.01 | 54m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.350 | $2.5 | 54m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.23 | $0.350 | $1.13 | 54m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 23.22 | $0.200 | $4.64 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 10.1 | $0.400 | $4.04 | 1h ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 8.46 | $0.720 | $6.09 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.67 | $0.690 | $2.53 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.43 | $0.690 | $0.99 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.530 | $2.43 | 1h ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.050 | $5.13 | 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.61 | $0.490 | $5.69 | 15h ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.443 | $6.04 | 17h ago |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | 19h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.84 | $0.860 | $9.32 | 19h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.360 | $0.06 | 19h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.360 | $0.09 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.74 | $0.360 | $0.27 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.360 | $1.22 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.59 | $0.360 | $0.21 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.360 | $0.01 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.360 | $0.05 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 4.8 | $0.360 | $1.73 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.360 | $0.05 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 1.71 | $0.360 | $0.62 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.360 | $0.01 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.360 | $0.07 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.360 | $0.01 | 20h ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 12.77 | $0.480 | $6.13 | 22h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 8.34 | $0.720 | $6 | 23h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.720 | $5.4 | 23h ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 11.61 | $0.310 | $3.6 | 23h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.330 | $0.1 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.84 | $0.150 | $1.63 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.140 | $0.21 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.46 | $0.710 | $6.01 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.72 | $0.110 | $4.04 | 1d ago |