Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 20.68 | $0.650 | $13.44 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 10.84 |
| $0.311 |
| $3.37 |
| Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.84 | $0.440 | $4.77 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 8.49 | $0.589 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 20.69 | $0.290 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.995 | $3.98 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.991 | $11.79 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "ISIS" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.560 | $1.53 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "ISIS" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Birth" or "Birthday" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 4.19 | $0.477 | $2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fort Liberty" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.580 | $7.63 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | sell | 8.39 | $0.870 | $7.3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 8.39 | $0.834 | $7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.19 | $0.974 | $7.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.400 | $2.14 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 2025 January hottest on record?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Adesanya vs. ImavovAdesanya | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 29.27 | $0.260 | $7.61 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?No | buy | 15.34 | $0.326 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?Yes | sell | 27.93 | $0.450 | $12.57 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Kamala and Trump shake hands at inauguration?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Kamala and Trump shake hands at inauguration?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.450 | $15 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend the launch?Yes | buy | 18.89 | $0.090 | $1.7 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 SpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | sell | 12.48 | $0.300 | $3.74 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?Yes | buy | 17.73 | $0.220 | $3.9 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?Yes | buy | 39.36 | $0.047 | $1.85 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Trudeau resign Today?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign Today?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.710 | $13.65 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | buy | 12.48 | $0.310 | $3.87 | Jan 6, 2025 |