Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 22, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$776.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 22, 2025 UTC

Topic roomMovies, TV and music Trump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2025 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 63.5% on 8 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 22 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 30.5% on 9 Jan 2025. $776.6K traded over the market's life.

84 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 2:40 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 8 Jan 2025 – 22 Jan 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Jan 2025	63.5%
22 Jan 2025	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Melody626	Yes	7.07K
syrus	Yes	2.41K
Kanitta	Yes	1.4K

10 of 84 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

33.76 million people tuned in to watch the inauguration of Joe Biden as the 46th president of the United States on Wednesday, Jan. 20, 2021 (see: https://www.nielsen.com/news-center/2021/media-advisory-nearly-33-8m-americans-watch-president-joe-bidens-inauguration/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has more than 33,760,000 viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.