Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 7 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2025 to 17 Jan 2025, the highest close was 98% on 17 Jan 2025 and the lowest 83.5% on 7 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 96.5% on 10 Jan 2025. $51.82K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 7 Jan 2025 – 17 Jan 2025, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | 83.5% |
| 17 Jan 2025 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 1.01K |
| PolyDump | No | 400 |
| NewBalance998 | No | 235.91 |
| Tmwws | No | 20.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the outcomes and milestones of SpaceX's Flight Test 7.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3nM3vGdanpw
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-flight-test-7
| Malte | No | 15.87 |
| PUTIN-609 | Yes | 1.03 |
| GuyWhoFcks | Yes | 0.02 |
| megagrim | Yes | 0.01 |
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