Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 82%. Yes opened at 78.5% on 19 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 Jan 2025 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 82% on 20 Jan 2025 and the lowest 78.5% on 19 Jan 2025. $22.12K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 9:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Jan 2025 – 20 Jan 2025, chart shows 74%–86%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | 78.5% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 82.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kroll703 | No | 410.57 |
| metalpole1 | No | 118.3 |
| Tmwws | No | 26.32 |
| JCAL | No | 24.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Kamala Harris shake hands at any point on January 20 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-and-trump-shake-hands-at-inauguration
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| physiovunt | No | 6.25 |
| isildursheir | No | 5.26 |
| ArbiTrader.Zim | No | 0.03 |
| Mufasa33 | No | 0.01 |
| TadCooper | Yes | 0.01 |
