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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 16.03 | $0.249 | $13.22 | +$9.22 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.71 |
| $0.280 |
| $6.48 |
| +$3.48 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.420 | $6.25 | +$3.25 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 6.98 | $0.430 | $5.9 | +$2.9 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 16.15 | $0.371 | $5.73 | -$0.27 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.45 | $0.550 | $5.1 | +$2.1 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $4.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 5.64 | $0.532 | $4.87 | +$1.87 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 18.29 | $0.437 | $4.76 | -$3.24 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $3.79 | -$0.21 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3.31 | +$0.31 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.300 | $3.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 20.95 | $0.095 | $3.25 | +$1.25 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 49.88 | $0.140 | $3.24 | -$3.76 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3.17 | +$0.17 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 23.24 | $0.215 | $3.14 | -$1.86 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.08 | $0.130 | $2.88 | -$0.12 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 19.46 | $0.205 | $2.82 | -$1.18 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 6.52 | $0.460 | $2.67 | -$0.33 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.146 | $2.65 | +$0.65 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 17.52 | $0.228 | $2.59 | -$1.41 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 10.34 | $0.290 | $2.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | $0 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1.94 | +$0.94 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 21.09 | $0.095 | $1.85 | -$0.15 |
| sell |
| 12.72 |
| $0.890 |
| $11.32 |
| 10d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 15d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.870 | $4.14 | 15d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | 21d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 29d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | 29d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.490 | $4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.802 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.961 | $7.69 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 11.9 | $0.440 | $5.24 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.600 | $5.45 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 27.84 | $0.072 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 5.76 | $0.347 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.146 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will England win the World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.542 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.900 | $3.74 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.314 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.532 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 14.22 | $0.211 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |