Latest trade
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 3:50 PM UTC.
Analytics
isildursheir is down $162.74 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 3:50 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Jul 12, 2026 UTC to Oct 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 16.03 | $0.249 | $14.18 | +$10.18 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 23d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-03 22:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
43 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 15:50 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 15:50 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-03 22:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $287.84 and losing ones cost $118.81 across the latest 50 settled positions. 74% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $23 on “Will Israel or the US target Tehran?” (Yes); the largest loss, $29.49 on “Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Oct 2026. It has traded 678 markets. Its open positions are worth $122.18 across 43 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 10.71 |
| $0.280 |
| $10.37 |
| +$7.37 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 26.11 | $0.268 | $9.79 | +$2.79 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.420 | $6.24 | +$3.24 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 6.98 | $0.430 | $6.17 | +$3.17 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 9.02 | $0.443 | $5.19 | +$1.19 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.45 | $0.550 | $5.15 | +$2.15 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 16.15 | $0.371 | $4.44 | -$1.56 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $4.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 5.64 | $0.532 | $4 | +$1 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3.69 | +$0.69 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 20.95 | $0.095 | $3.67 | +$1.67 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 18.29 | $0.437 | $3.38 | -$4.62 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 49.88 | $0.140 | $3.24 | -$3.76 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | $0 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 19.46 | $0.205 | $2.63 | -$1.37 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 17.52 | $0.228 | $2.53 | -$1.47 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.146 | $2.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 21.09 | $0.095 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 28.99 | $0.069 | $1.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $1.77 | -$0.23 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.180 | $1.75 | -$1.25 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 23.24 | $0.215 | $1.74 | -$3.26 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| buy |
| 2.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $1 |
| 23d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 23d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Israel military action against Yemen by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.72 | $0.890 | $11.32 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.870 | $4.14 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.490 | $4 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.802 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.961 | $7.69 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 11.9 | $0.440 | $5.24 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.600 | $5.45 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 27.84 | $0.072 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 5.76 | $0.347 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.146 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win the World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.542 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.900 | $3.74 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.314 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.