Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77%. Yes opened at 49% on 6 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2026 to 15 Jul 2026, the highest close was 49% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 12.5% on 7 Jun 2026. $52.03K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 9:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 15 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | 49.0% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 23.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.73K |
| NDLG | Yes | 13.11K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.65K |
| Jazzy1870 | Yes | 1.63K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which England is eliminated. If England wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If England is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by England based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-england-stage-of-elimination
| flawfence | Yes | 1.37K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| mikego | Yes | 512.67 |
| novv25 | Yes | 500 |
| carpe-noctem | Yes | 310.62 |
| Periodista | Yes | 294.12 |
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