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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 80.4K | $0.491 | $38.19K | -$1.29K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.15K | $0.460 | $4.21K | 7h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 259.92K |
| $0.134 |
| $24.69K |
| -$10.1K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 90.22K | $0.251 | $13.08K | -$9.55K |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | Yes | 12.4K | $0.249 | $5.77K | +$2.68K |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 12.66K | $0.513 | $5.76K | -$738.45 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 11.27K | $0.319 | $1.75K | -$1.85K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 36.32K | $0.233 | $1.58K | -$6.87K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 6.52K | $0.160 | $945.2 | -$97.4 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 4.69K | $0.075 | $258.03 | -$95.79 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 4.1K | $0.068 | $197.03 | -$81.14 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 1K | $0.120 | $45 | -$75 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 118.56 | $0.084 | $7.47 | -$2.53 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 56.68 | $0.250 | $3.12 | -$11.05 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.83 | +$0.83 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 1.01 | $0.832 | $1.01 | +$0.17 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
| buy |
| 10.87K |
| $0.460 |
| $5K |
| 7h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.8K | $0.510 | $5K | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.8K | $0.510 | $5K | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.32K | $0.480 | $3.99K | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.83K | $0.480 | $10K | 8d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 90.22K | $0.150 | $13.53K | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.36K | $0.540 | $1.28K | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.26K | $0.540 | $5K | 11d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 5.66K | $0.530 | $3K | 11d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 291.46 | $0.500 | $145.73 | 11d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 2.03K | $0.650 | $1.32K | 14d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 841.67 | $0.660 | $555.5 | 14d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 8.99K | $0.060 | $539.58 | 14d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 99.91 | $0.110 | $10.99 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.64 | $0.140 | $2.61 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 3.53K | $0.700 | $2.47K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 6.01K | $0.860 | $5.17K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.260 | $520 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.250 | $625 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.22K | $0.170 | $718 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 6.01K | $0.832 | $5K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 3.52K | $0.709 | $2.5K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 213.27 | $0.220 | $46.92 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.64K | $0.170 | $2.32K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.250 | $255 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 75.62 | $0.240 | $18.15 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 219.96 | $0.230 | $50.59 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.230 | $230 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.6 | $0.080 | $1.33 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.080 | $202.04 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 325.03 | $0.070 | $22.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.250 | $5K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 88.13 | $0.080 | $7.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.728 | $953.81 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.38K | $0.726 | $1K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.728 | $875 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.49K | $0.728 | $4K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.717 | $7.17 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 2.86K | $0.350 | $1K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 30.38 | $0.210 | $6.38 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 15.52 | $0.210 | $3.26 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.2 | $0.802 | $12.99 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.27K | $0.806 | $9.89K | Jul 26, 2026 |