Latest trade
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:05 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
isildursheir is down $162.74 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:05 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Jul 12, 2026 UTC to Oct 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 16.03 | $0.249 | $14.18 | +$10.18 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 23d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-03 22:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
43 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 18:05 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 18:05 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-03 22:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $287.84 and losing ones cost $118.81 across the latest 50 settled positions. 74% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $23 on “Will Israel or the US target Tehran?” (Yes); the largest loss, $29.49 on “Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Oct 2026. It has traded 678 markets. Its open positions are worth $122.55 across 43 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 10.71 |
| $0.280 |
| $10.42 |
| +$7.42 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 26.11 | $0.268 | $9.79 | +$2.79 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.420 | $6.24 | +$3.24 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 6.98 | $0.430 | $6.17 | +$3.17 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 9.02 | $0.443 | $5.19 | +$1.19 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.45 | $0.550 | $5.15 | +$2.15 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 16.15 | $0.371 | $4.44 | -$1.56 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $4.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 18.29 | $0.437 | $4.12 | -$3.88 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 5.64 | $0.532 | $3.79 | +$0.79 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3.69 | +$0.69 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 20.95 | $0.095 | $3.67 | +$1.67 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 49.88 | $0.140 | $3.24 | -$3.76 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 11.54 | $0.260 | $2.94 | -$0.06 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 19.46 | $0.205 | $2.63 | -$1.37 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 17.52 | $0.228 | $2.52 | -$1.48 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.146 | $2.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 21.09 | $0.095 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $1.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 28.99 | $0.069 | $1.75 | -$0.25 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.180 | $1.75 | -$1.25 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 23.24 | $0.215 | $1.74 | -$3.26 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| buy |
| 2.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $1 |
| 23d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 23d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Israel military action against Yemen by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.72 | $0.890 | $11.32 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.870 | $4.14 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.490 | $4 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.802 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.961 | $7.69 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 11.9 | $0.440 | $5.24 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.600 | $5.45 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 27.84 | $0.072 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 5.76 | $0.347 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.146 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win the World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.542 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.900 | $3.74 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.314 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.