Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 16% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2025 to 17 Jan 2025, the highest close was 16% on 9 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 17 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 9.5% on 10 Jan 2025. $80.87K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 1:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 17 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 16.0% |
| 17 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yarraj | Yes | 503.8 |
| Malte | Yes | 264.29 |
| Misomis | Yes | 218.75 |
| singlefrequency | Yes | 166.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the outcomes and milestones of SpaceX's Flight Test 7.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3nM3vGdanpw
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-flight-test-7
| y0hami | Yes | 165.02 |
| gandalf | Yes | 62.99 |
| NR69 | Yes | 37.5 |
| Tmwws | Yes | 18.89 |
| olav | Yes | 12.5 |
| madameX | No | 11.64 |
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