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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?No | buy | 12.1 | $0.992 | $12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 13.13 |
| $0.990 |
| $13 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?No | buy | 14.23 | $0.984 | $14 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.780 | $6.09 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in December 2025?No | buy | 20.37 | $0.982 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 13.2 | $0.985 | $13 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by November 30?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.996 | $24 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.99 | $0.996 | $54.76 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?No | buy | 54.75 | $0.974 | $53.33 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 21.64 | $0.924 | $20 | Aug 6, 2025 |
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 13.44 | $0.340 | $4.57 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 20.4 | $0.245 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be 45% or higher in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 35.75 | $0.998 | $35.68 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2 | May 30, 2025 |
Trump x Xi talk before June?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.987 | $8 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.987 | $7.3 | May 30, 2025 |
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | May 30, 2025 |
Circle IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.88 | $0.979 | $3.8 | May 30, 2025 |
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.973 | $7.3 | May 30, 2025 |
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.915 | $3 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?No | buy | 6.64 | $0.999 | $6.63 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.915 | $2 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk visit Stargate Texas site before March?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.986 | $4 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19?Yes | buy | 5.63 | $0.710 | $4 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-19?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times Jan 3-Jan 10?No | buy | 11.06 | $0.995 | $11 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Jonathan Anderson joins Dior creative director before February?Yes | buy | 2.37 | $0.870 | $2.06 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.998 | $3.1 | Nov 27, 2024 |
Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.990 | $4.2 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Real Betis win La Liga?No | sell | 3.05K | $0.996 | $3.03K | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Real Betis win La Liga?No | buy | 3.05K | $0.997 | $3.04K | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.942 | $2.51 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.968 | $2.5 | Oct 30, 2024 |
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Crimean bridge hit before November?No | buy | 24.07 | $0.997 | $24 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Crimean bridge hit before November?No | sell | 32.89 | $0.980 | $32.23 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet 50-59 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will JD Vance say "tampon" during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.880 | $1.3 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Crimean bridge hit before November?No | buy | 32.89 | $0.985 | $32.4 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will TS-LKD win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?No | sell | 33.16 | $0.760 | $25.19 | Oct 15, 2024 |