Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 10 Jan 2025, the highest close was 84.5% on 7 Jan 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 10 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 36% on 8 Jan 2025. $1.93M traded over the market's life.
124 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 10:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 10 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 65.5% |
| 10 Jan 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jaunty-Lacquerware | Yes | 25.55K |
| mango0x | Yes | 15.32K |
| Melody626 | Yes | 10.03K |
| llupine | Yes | 8.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 10 Jan '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3,500.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-3500-on-january-10
| Kayane1 | Yes | 8.12K |
| Figoo57 | Yes | 7.91K |
| verifieddegen | Yes | 5.31K |
| CRZ | Yes | 5.14K |
| harry0027 | Yes | 3.13K |
| VASIL | Yes | 1.63K |
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