
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 23% on 16 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 16 May 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 17 May 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 11.5% on 22 May 2025. $52.98K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 16 May 2025 – 1 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2025 | 23.0% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anthonayz | Yes | 125 |
| Bold Ledger A611 | Yes | 62.5 |
| anke | No | 0.03 |
| smoltrader | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping speak directly to one another between May 15, 12:30 PM ET, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any conversation that occurs directly between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will qualify, regardless of whether it is over the phone, videocall, or in person. The conversation must be voice-based, not text-based. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of China and the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-x-xi-talk-before-june
New to prediction markets?
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| borogrid | Yes | 0.01 |