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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 538 | $0.959 | $515.94 | May 7, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 57.75 |
| $0.710 |
| $41 |
| Feb 19, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 33 | $0.998 | $32.93 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.974 | $9.74 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?No | buy | 12 | $0.984 | $11.81 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.969 | $15.5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.948 | $15.17 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?No | buy | 14 | $0.972 | $13.61 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 14 | $0.997 | $13.96 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?No | sell | 4.71 | $0.983 | $4.63 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025?No | sell | 11.3 | $0.934 | $10.55 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Another Canada election called in 2025?No | sell | 20.69 | $0.954 | $19.73 | Jun 17, 2025 |
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?No | sell | 36.86 | $0.901 | $33.21 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris announce California Governor run before July?No | sell | 41 | $0.937 | $38.41 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Pepe ETF in 2025?No | sell | 65.78 | $0.912 | $60.02 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?No | sell | 81.01 | $0.893 | $72.32 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?No | sell | 19.97 | $0.087 | $1.74 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?No | sell | 11.82 | $0.889 | $10.51 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will anyone be charged with insider trading Trump tariff announcement?No | sell | 46.27 | $0.962 | $44.51 | Jun 16, 2025 |
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?No | sell | 48.2 | $0.095 | $4.58 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.418 | $2.09 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.432 | $2.16 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.577 | $5.77 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.435 | $2.18 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?No | sell | 40.06 | $0.967 | $38.74 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.926 | $9.26 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka before July?No | sell | 44 | $0.929 | $40.88 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $370b and $380b on June 30?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.823 | $4.16 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 20.99 | $0.904 | $18.97 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 61 | $0.906 | $55.27 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.859 | $8.59 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 16.57 | $0.856 | $14.18 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 81 | $0.902 | $73.06 | Jun 16, 2025 |
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.902 | $9.02 | Jun 16, 2025 |
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.902 | $9.02 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?No | sell | 20.95 | $0.588 | $12.32 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Viktor Gyokeres sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.933 | $38.25 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?Yes | sell | 64.21 | $0.942 | $60.49 | Jun 16, 2025 |
June 12 internet outages caused by a hack?No | sell | 26.11 | $0.985 | $25.72 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?No | sell | 68.97 | $0.920 | $63.45 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $370b and $380b on June 30?No | sell | 41 | $0.828 | $33.95 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $370b and $380b on June 30?No | sell | 35.43 | $0.827 | $29.3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 39.99 | $0.861 | $34.43 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.683 | $55.32 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Al Hilal win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 11.51 | $0.925 | $10.65 | Jun 16, 2025 |
U.S. forces in Gaza before July?No | sell | 40.99 | $0.970 | $39.76 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?No | sell | 79.92 | $0.924 | $73.85 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?Yes | sell | 22.36 | $0.016 | $0.36 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 106.01 | $0.704 | $74.63 | Jun 16, 2025 |