Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 17% on 13 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 13 Feb 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 17% on 13 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 10.5% on 14 Feb 2025. $735.45K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 13 Feb 2025 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2025 | 17.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PSF | Yes | 767.66 |
| Plutus97 | Yes | 500 |
| Keen Oracle 60E1 | Yes | 350 |
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the Russian Federation between February 12 and April 29, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the Russian Federation. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-russia-in-first-100-days
| Yes |
| 300 |
| krum | Yes | 250.43 |
| Nuker | Yes | 222.22 |
| WestSouth | No | 222 |
| yarchuk | Yes | 181.83 |
| CosmicBear | Yes | 166.67 |
| Indigo Harbor 275B | Yes | 153.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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