Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 60.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 5 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 60.5% on 11 Jul 2025 and the low 13.5% on 6 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 60.5% on 11 Jul 2025. $483.64K traded over the market's life.
110 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Jul 2025 – 11 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2025 | 18.0% |
| 11 Jul 2025 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 226.07K |
| rWallStreetBets💎 | No | 11.46K |
| truthov | No | 5.97K |
| sdadewq | No | 850 |
| sadasd231dsa | No | 800 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 677.99 |
| 23wqe12333 | No | 662.53 |
| peowpeow | No | 266.67 |
| Tendollars | No | 200 |
| Martinoshi | No | 142.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between July 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and July 11, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-4-11
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