Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 14 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 43% on 14 Feb 2026 and the low 1.1% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 15.5% on 15 Feb 2026.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 3:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 26 points · 14 Feb 2026 – 11 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | 43.0% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 20.28K |
| armand | Yes | 999.91 |
| ifyouknow-youknow | Yes | 831.02 |
| Linear-Hiking | Yes | 753.42 |
| unrest | Yes | 283.05 |
| airabc | Yes | 237 |
| Royal Sphinx BDDC | Yes | 233.39 |
| Unfortunate-Gold | Yes | 228.37 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| bk726gK | Yes | 176.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in February 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/february-inflation-us-monthly-231
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