Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 19 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 256 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2024 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 18% on 20 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Jul 2025. $263.54K traded over the market's life.
112 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 4:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 256 points, 19 Nov 2024 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2024 | 12.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dogtheorist2 | Yes | 8.38K |
| Gargantuan-Expense | Yes | 4.4K |
| NRXO519 | Yes | 2.63K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares H5N1 (bird flu) a pandemic by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information form the WHO, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bird-flu-pandemic-before-august-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| mkssthlm | Yes | 2.44K |
| Bassmaker | Yes | 2.19K |
| fisherfun | Yes | 1.26K |
| lian10217 | Yes | 1.19K |
| WizzleGizzle | Yes | 912.36 |
| crypto2themoon | Yes | 564.16 |
| BSeri | Yes | 511.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
