Latest trade
Dec 24, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:16 PM UTC.
Analytics
Tiago77 is down $81.91 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 24, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:16 PM UTC.
$3.1 median trade
Its latest 37 trades covered 31 markets; 94.6% were buys. They run from Dec 9, 2025 UTC to Dec 24, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.004 | $4.6 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 09:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
37 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:16 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 09:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $25.45 and losing ones cost $57.71 across 21 settled positions. 14.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $22.95 on “Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?” (Yes); the largest loss, $9.9 on “No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Dec 2025. It has traded 31 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.35 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 410.2 |
| $0.005 |
| $2 |
| Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 9.98 | $0.676 | $6.75 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 745 | $0.010 | $7.45 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.501 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.75K | $0.004 | $11 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 952.5 | $0.004 | $3.81 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.005 | $3.75 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 61.05 | $0.190 | $11.6 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.050 | $4.9 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| 'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?25 bps cut | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?No Change | buy | 1.45K | $0.002 | $3.1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 286.71 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 83.08 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?Yes | buy | 23.95 | $0.042 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?Yes | buy | 275 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.252 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 81.67 | $0.060 | $4.9 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 174.36 | $0.029 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 27.26 | $0.183 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.