Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 10 Dec 2025, the highest close was 29.5% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 10 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 6.5% on 9 Nov 2025. $49.24K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 11, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 10 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 29.5% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.63K |
| cowcat | Yes | 2.47K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 1.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's December 2025 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its December 10, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-canada-decision-in-december
| Yes |
| 1.81K |
| Scholarly-Hair | Yes | 1.18K |
| Gambnerd | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 911.69 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 750.7 |
| kalytics | Yes | 500 |
| Probable-Thunderhead | Yes | 399.95 |
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