Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.560 | $4.56 | -$0.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Yes |
| 14.29 |
| $0.350 |
| $1.07 |
| -$3.93 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No| buy |
| 3.45 |
| $0.580 |
| $2 |
| Oct 27, 2025 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will no listed leader be out in 2025?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.820 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?No | buy | 11.7 | $0.427 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.580 | $0.96 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Yes | buy | 69.31 | $0.029 | $2 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 French election called by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| French election called by October 31?Yes | buy | 40.12 | $0.025 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.505 | $5 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by December 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.105 | $5.25 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.105 | $5.25 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will 'Running Point: Season 1' be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.069 | $1.79 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.455 | $9.1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.007 | $0.04 | Feb 28, 2025 |