Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 16 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 46.5% on 16 Oct 2025 and the low 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 29.5% on 17 Oct 2025. $119.62K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 16 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 | 46.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| johndoe42069 | Yes | 615.68 |
| AlonT | Yes | 553.59 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 461 |
| lissartter | Yes | 220.1 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify. Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify. Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-in-2025
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 194 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 184 |
| endstr | Yes | 127.6 |
| chadpolmarket | Yes | 120.99 |
| BenjaminNetAnYahoo | Yes | 106.06 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 106 |
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