Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45%. Yes opened at 35% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 93 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 29 May 2025, the highest close was 75.5% on 13 Apr 2025 and the lowest 34% on 4 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 66% on 2 Apr 2025. $645.57K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 30, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 29 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 35.0% |
| 29 May 2025 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WhiteLivesMatter | No | 2.77K |
| WizzleGizzle | No | 450 |
| Aslan | No | 189.98 |
On February 17, the White House stated that Musk is a Senior Advisor to the President and an employee in the White House Office (see: https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69638651/24/1/state-of-new-mexico-v-musk/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Elon Musk will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of Musk’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Changes to Musk’s position within the Trump administration (e.g. if he is named administrator of DOGE), will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-out-of-trump-administration-in-2025
| No |
| 156.25 |
| WestSouth | Yes | 100 |
| CharlesGG | No | 75.76 |
| REDTATO | Yes | 26.32 |
| mangochile | No | 25.64 |
| BeefCurry | No | 23.72 |
| IntrepidDesert776 | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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