Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 5.26 | $0.570 | $4.39 | +$1.39 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 30.34 | $0.890 | $27 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.67 |
| $0.750 |
| $2.43 |
| +$0.43 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.460 | $0.54 | -$1.46 |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.480 | $0.29 | -$1.71 |
| buy |
| 4.17 |
| $0.480 |
| $2 |
| Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.043 | $0.24 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 9?No | buy | 7.33 | $0.977 | $7.16 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.87 | $0.580 | $2.82 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.050 | $1.43 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 4 | $0.430 | $1.72 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes | buy | 8.37 | $0.239 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.158 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Megaquake by June 30?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.770 | $3.02 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Megaquake by March 31?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Megaquake by January 31?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionYes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27?Down | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Yes | buy | 2.64 | $0.379 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 18.69 | $0.107 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.132 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Ariana Grande be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | buy | 307.12 | $0.024 | $7.37 | Nov 27, 2025 |