Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 187 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 7 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 49% on 8 Dec 2025. $1.75M traded over the market's life.
612 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 187 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| v1notlost | Yes | 22.01K |
| dingaaling | Yes | 21.69K |
| BTC-Hunter | Yes | 16.51K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-base-launch-a-token-in-2025-341
| Recsize | Yes | 14.5K |
| aiener | Yes | 11.1K |
| iiqio | Yes | 10.9K |
| crazydoge | Yes | 7.91K |
| pandada | Yes | 7.61K |
| sharkhaslanded | Yes | 6.25K |
| syngie | Yes | 5.16K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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