Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 82% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 96 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.6% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 79.5% on 13 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 87.2% on 27 Mar 2026. $90.2K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 96 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 82.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fiwdil | No | 1K |
| alerm89 | No | 425.14 |
| Whopping-Television | No | 417.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk rejoins Trump Administration - Trump deports Elon Musk - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Elon+Musk+Edition.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-elon-edition
| Yes |
| 334.72 |
| Generous-Airmail | No | 250 |
| coolboy3 | No | 174.6 |
| ati3349 | No | 167 |
| xMoff | No | 134.96 |
| Ivory Kestrel 8AF0 | No | 131.57 |
| GollumGekko | No | 129.02 |
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