Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 9.69 | $0.693 | $3.15 | -$3.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 50 | $0.109 | $5.46 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 3.59 |
| $0.800 |
| $0.08 |
| -$2.79 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes| sell |
| 154.2 |
| $0.203 |
| $31.26 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 17.04 | $0.620 | $10.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 12.11 | $0.890 | $10.78 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | sell | 18.82 | $0.650 | $12.23 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | sell | 530 | $0.231 | $122.69 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.206 | $51.44 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 259.82 | $0.243 | $63.02 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | sell | 318 | $0.259 | $82.36 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | sell | 250 | $0.348 | $87 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 184.76 | $0.606 | $112.06 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?Yes | sell | 224.95 | $0.203 | $45.68 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | sell | 281.82 | $0.525 | $147.95 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 174.97 | $0.880 | $153.97 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 312.66 | $0.568 | $177.45 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | sell | 508.55 | $0.266 | $135.44 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | sell | 259.08 | $0.596 | $154.37 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 419.24 | $0.451 | $189.12 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.710 | $888.07 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.33 | $0.609 | $8.72 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 39.25 | $0.407 | $15.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 728.62 | $0.280 | $204.01 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?No | sell | 762.32 | $0.140 | $106.77 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 431.47 | $0.108 | $46.58 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 259.5 | $0.450 | $116.78 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 238.31 | $0.410 | $97.71 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No | sell | 220.73 | $0.473 | $104.39 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?Yes | sell | 150.01 | $0.951 | $142.66 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 345.18 | $0.560 | $193.3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?No | sell | 334.36 | $0.750 | $250.77 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 706.95 | $0.580 | $410.03 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No | buy | 52 | $0.180 | $9.36 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | buy | 44 | $0.120 | $5.28 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.330 | $19.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 404.11 | $0.850 | $343.49 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 112.58 | $0.990 | $111.45 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | buy | 159 | $0.248 | $39.46 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | sell | 225 | $0.240 | $54 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | sell | 170 | $0.230 | $39.1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.090 | $20.25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.100 | $22.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.319 | $71.75 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | sell | 219 | $0.440 | $96.36 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | sell | 208.26 | $0.450 | $93.72 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.310 | $69.75 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | sell | 225 | $0.060 | $13.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | sell | 101 | $0.070 | $7.07 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 215.18 | $0.320 | $68.86 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | sell | 122.78 | $0.470 | $57.71 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.440 | $4.91 | Jan 27, 2026 |