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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.318 | $7.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 1.69 |
| $0.290 |
| $0.49 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.072 | $0.22 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on June 12?Yes | buy | 134.77 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on June 11?Yes | buy | 34.47 | $0.029 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.190 | $0.92 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.99 | $0.020 | $0.9 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.180 | $4.59 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.37 | $0.190 | $9.19 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.18 | $0.190 | $4.6 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.64 | $0.140 | $4.57 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.5 | $0.090 | $4.55 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.06 | $0.168 | $8.25 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.11 | $0.308 | $4.65 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.45 | $0.240 | $9.24 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.53 | $0.305 | $9.3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.09 | $0.130 | $9.13 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.53 | $0.066 | $4.53 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 160.14 | $0.006 | $0.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 450.1 | $0.002 | $0.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.25 | $0.098 | $4.55 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.200 | $9.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.370 | $4.69 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.94 | $0.220 | $4.61 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.15 | $0.220 | $5.53 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.87 | $0.027 | $1.81 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 450.1 | $0.002 | $0.9 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.1 | $0.015 | $0.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.58 | $0.062 | $4.53 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.18 | $0.190 | $4.6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.17 | $0.270 | $4.64 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.17 | $0.270 | $4.64 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.58 | $0.170 | $3.67 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.001 | $2.7 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.001 | $1.8 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 125.38 | $0.036 | $4.52 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.18 | $0.190 | $4.6 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.02 | $0.290 | $4.65 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Opinion launch a token on March 6?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | buy | 425.14 | $0.059 | $25 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 389.32 | $0.003 | $1.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 127.05 | $0.018 | $2.33 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 53.9 | $0.019 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |