Analytics
Yes is at 9%, down 19 points from 28.5% when the market opened on 19 Jan 2026.
Across the 269 daily closes on record from 19 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 5 Feb 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 11 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 36.5%; a month before, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 20% on 30 Apr 2026.
$13.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $589.59, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.63K bought Yes and $2.58K bought No.
The largest Yes position is legendofanime with 603 shares; the largest No position is agagyu with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 68.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 269 points, 19 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 | 28.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| agagyu | No | 1.68K |
| TonyEsse | No | 795.84 |
| legendofanime | Yes | 602.94 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kylie-jenner-and-timothe-chalamet-engaged-in-2026
| Bdrivedfya |
| Yes |
| 429.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 406.27 |
| Melqui | No | 244.05 |
| bonalddrunk | Yes | 200.14 |
| Optimus- | No | 199.95 |
| jwd103103 | Yes | 176 |
| Long-Staff | Yes | 175.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
