Latest trade
Feb 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:04 PM UTC.
Analytics
Amber Pioneer 94AC is down $29.93 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:04 PM UTC.
$2.25 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 36 markets; 52.0% were buys. They run from Feb 3, 2026 UTC to Feb 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1.7 | +$0.7 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-09 12:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 16:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 16:04 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 12:07 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $104.21 and losing ones cost $148.04 across 46 settled positions. 56.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $35.13 on “US government shutdown Saturday?” (Yes); the largest loss, $130.54 on “Government shutdown on Saturday?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Feb 2026. It has traded 62 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.62 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.61 |
| $0.620 |
| $0.94 |
| -$0.06 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.899 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
| sell |
| 2.24 |
| $0.940 |
| $2.11 |
| Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.380 | $4.32 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.530 | $1.76 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.21 | $0.920 | $2.03 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.940 | $2.04 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.880 | $2.39 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.770 | $2.65 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.150 | $3.75 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.262 | $3.97 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.400 | $4.65 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.610 | $4.69 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.440 | $4.78 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.900 | $4.94 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.880 | $4.94 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.890 | $5.06 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.958 | $5.09 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.820 | $5.26 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 91.38 | $0.343 | $31.34 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 83.87 | $0.968 | $81.19 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 126.73 | $0.850 | $107.72 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 218.66 | $0.153 | $33.45 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 218.67 | $0.750 | $164 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.250 | $2.02 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 86.98 | $0.230 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.227 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.941 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.