Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 28% on 25 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 34.5% on 27 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 34.5% on 27 Jan 2026. $743.22K traded over the market's life.
276 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 25 Jan 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | 28.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AllByMyseIf | Yes | 6.89K |
| weibin0311 | Yes | 4.02K |
| fritzphantom123 | Yes | 4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 24, 2026, a federal immigration agent shot and killed a man in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during a federal immigration enforcement operation (see: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/ice-minneapolis-shooting-01-24-26). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/minneapolis-border-patrol-shooter-charged
| Yes |
| 1.83K |
| .daniel | No | 999.97 |
| Amslaw | Yes | 988.33 |
| estrume | Yes | 938.64 |
| noobslayer44444 | Yes | 909.94 |
| Housemedici1 | Yes | 811.69 |
| jack8311 | Yes | 577.14 |
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