Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21.5%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 4 Feb 2026, the highest close was 23.5% on 3 Feb 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 4 Feb 2026. $767.4K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 4 Feb 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 23.5% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gruesome-Ore | No | 282.68K |
| Medium-Eye | No | 52.34K |
| Neon Atlas 8F64 | No | 9.04K |
| Blind-Cargo | No | 6.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?' market in the Event 'US strikes Iran by...?' (https://polymarket.com/event/us-strikes-iran-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-over-30 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-strikes-iran-by-feb-28-odds-30-by-friday
| Trivial-Likeness | No | 5K |
| Mrbig1 | No | 4.91K |
| Neon Comet A106 | No | 3K |
| Emerald Harbor 3567 | No | 1.99K |
| Amber Summit 0EFE | No | 1.8K |
| Cosmic Scout 8639 | No | 1.39K |
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