Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.77 | $0.640 | $10.09 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 95.6 |
| $0.157 |
| $15 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.01 | $0.049 | $3.43 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.007 | $3.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 242.81 | $0.070 | $17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 154.46 | $0.110 | $16.99 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.47 | $0.320 | $49.43 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.008 | $4 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 US strikes Nigeria by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | sell | 61.22 | $0.032 | $1.96 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 74.8 | $0.190 | $14.21 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | sell | 410.95 | $0.071 | $29.26 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 74.81 | $0.210 | $15.71 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 410.96 | $0.073 | $30 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| US strikes Nigeria by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | buy | 61.22 | $0.049 | $3 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | May 5, 2025 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?No | sell | 9.52 | $0.880 | $8.38 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.450 | $11.84 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?Yes | sell | 145.44 | $0.177 | $25.78 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will any country leave NATO in 2025?No | sell | 81.82 | $0.920 | $75.27 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.180 | $12 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 100.34 | $0.120 | $12.04 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 78.78 | $0.180 | $14.18 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.780 | $14.18 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 72.94 | $0.630 | $45.95 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.400 | $16 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?Yes | sell | 43.75 | $0.684 | $29.94 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 100.34 | $0.080 | $8 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change?Yes | buy | 94.67 | $0.106 | $10 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.070 | $8 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?Yes | buy | 43.75 | $0.160 | $7 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.320 | $8 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.130 | $11.82 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will any country leave NATO in 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will any country leave NATO in 2025?No | buy | 121.82 | $0.888 | $108.22 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 126.04 | $0.700 | $88.23 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 82.35 | $0.240 | $19.79 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.640 | $8 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |