Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?

worldResolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$79.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 344 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 24 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 24% on 18 Oct 2025. $79.21K traded over the market's life.

164 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 8:51 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 344 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jan 2025	40.5%
1 Jan 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
F1Champion	Yes	2K
Helpful-Tomato	Yes	1.16K
LukeGamma	Yes	999.92

Rules

How this market was settled

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 15 and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.