Latest trade
Jul 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:12 PM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Kestrel EEA2 has made $319.26 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:12 PM UTC.
$2.52 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 0.0% were buys. They run from Jul 10, 2026 UTC to Jul 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.250 | $21.9 | +$14.4 |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 8.5 | $0.480 | $4.08 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-21 10:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 22:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 22:12 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-21 10:45 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.41K and losing ones cost $171.29 across the latest 50 settled positions. 88% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $100.92 on “Will Trump and Putin not meet?” (Yes); the largest loss, $59.74 on “Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Jul 2026. It has traded 330 markets. Its open positions are worth $279.04 across 112 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.083 |
| $20.88 |
| +$18.38 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.016 | $20.25 | +$19.77 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $19.35 | +$4.35 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $15.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO? | Yes | 30 | $0.063 | $12.92 | +$11.04 |
 Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? | Yes | 34.56 | $0.028 | $11.92 | +$10.96 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX? | Yes | 48.1 | $0.028 | $11.38 | +$10.04 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 25.11 | $0.500 | $11.3 | -$1.26 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 57.73 | $0.500 | $9.81 | -$19.05 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.016 | $9.51 | +$8.54 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $8.36 | -$6.65 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT? | Yes | 30.01 | $0.028 | $7.11 | +$6.28 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AAGI? | Yes | 30 | $0.028 | $7.1 | +$6.26 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.100 | $6.9 | +$3.9 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? | Yes | 79.88 | $0.083 | $6.47 | -$0.19 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 37.85 | $0.016 | $6.44 | +$5.82 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.028 | $6.25 | +$5.86 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.100 | $5.94 | +$4.06 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 15.46 | $0.071 | $5.33 | +$4.23 |
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO? | Yes | 10.8 | $0.500 | $4.22 | -$1.18 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? | Yes | 20 | $0.071 | $3.56 | +$2.13 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1900.00 and 1999.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.100 | $3.51 | +$0.51 |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.500 | $3.29 | -$41.72 |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.083 | $2.97 | -$2.03 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Yes| sell |
| 15.52 |
| $0.590 |
| $9.16 |
| Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will UK annual inflation be 2.1% or less in June?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.079 | $0.4 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.560 | $16.8 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.420 | $12.6 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.02 | $0.680 | $7.5 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 28.38 | $0.037 | $1.05 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?Yes | sell | 9.7 | $0.570 | $5.53 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.372 | $5.21 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.026 | $0.78 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.327 | $2.98 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.023 | $0.69 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 38.35 | $0.740 | $28.38 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 10.09 | $0.009 | $0.09 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 33.36 | $0.053 | $1.77 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?Yes | sell | 17.62 | $0.240 | $4.23 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 29.15 | $0.950 | $27.69 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.767 | $23.01 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.190 | $0 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 16.62 | $0.013 | $0.22 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 10.09 | $0.022 | $0.22 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.89 | $0.190 | $3.59 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 18.98 | $0.200 | $3.8 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 3.13 | $0.390 | $1.22 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.430 | $0.64 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Yes | sell | 9.98 | $0.014 | $0.14 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank cut by 50 bps or more at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.16 | $0.013 | $0.08 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.300 | $0.3 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.270 | $8.1 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?Yes | sell | 14.38 | $0.480 | $6.9 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Yes | sell | 5.85 | $0.270 | $1.58 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 31.68 | $0.940 | $29.78 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?Yes | sell | 18.7 | $0.110 | $2.06 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%?Yes | sell | 11.99 | $0.100 | $1.2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%?Yes | sell | 15.22 | $0.083 | $1.26 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | sell | 21.39 | $0.200 | $4.28 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 26.12 | $0.999 | $26.09 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Yes | sell | 21.48 | $0.080 | $1.72 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.520 | $3.38 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes | sell | 18.81 | $0.058 | $1.09 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in June?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.081 | $0.41 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.063 | $1.89 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.029 | $0.87 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.