Will UK annual inflation be 2.1% or less in June?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 22, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 22, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 22 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 50% on 18 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2026 to 22 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 22 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 13.5% on 19 Jun 2026. $3.59K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 6:19 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 18 Jun 2026 – 22 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Jun 2026	50.0%
22 Jul 2026	1.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	785.79
TENETENET	Yes	100
firegold	Yes	94.75
Oklmntrader	Yes	70.13

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending June 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.