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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 49.91 | $0.111 | $31.19 | +$25.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?Yes | sell | 17.62 | $0.240 | $4.23 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.143 |
| $24.47 |
| +$20.18 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.031 | $24.45 | +$23.51 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 42.8 | $0.111 | $23.33 | +$18.57 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $22.35 | +$7.35 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 19.73 | $0.200 | $19.66 | +$15.71 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.333 | $16.35 | +$6.35 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.167 | $14.55 | +$9.55 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 30 | $0.111 | $13.95 | +$10.62 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $12.15 | -$2.85 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 25.11 | $0.500 | $11.93 | -$0.63 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $11.25 | -$3.75 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 57.73 | $0.500 | $10.1 | -$18.76 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 35.98 | $0.333 | $9.53 | -$2.46 |
 Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.053 | $9.1 | +$8.37 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | Yes | 52.75 | $0.143 | $6.99 | -$0.55 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 15.46 | $0.125 | $6.73 | +$4.79 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? | Yes | 34.56 | $0.053 | $6.22 | +$4.4 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 37.85 | $0.031 | $5.87 | +$4.68 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.167 | $5.85 | +$2.7 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 25 | $0.143 | $5.54 | +$1.97 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT? | Yes | 30.01 | $0.053 | $5.33 | +$3.75 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? | Yes | 79.88 | $0.143 | $5.27 | -$6.14 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $4.76 | -$10.25 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 11.96 | $0.143 | $4.36 | +$2.66 |
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.300 |
| $0.3 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?Yes | sell | 18.7 | $0.110 | $2.06 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%?Yes | sell | 11.99 | $0.100 | $1.2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Yes | sell | 21.48 | $0.080 | $1.72 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.520 | $3.38 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes | sell | 18.81 | $0.058 | $1.09 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 8.09 | $0.800 | $6.47 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.17 | $0.300 | $1.55 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in June?Yes | sell | 11.19 | $0.380 | $4.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in June?Yes | sell | 20.36 | $0.080 | $1.63 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in June?Yes | sell | 4.64 | $0.500 | $2.32 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 10.27 | $0.790 | $8.11 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?Yes | sell | 6.1 | $0.250 | $1.53 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?Yes | sell | 5.15 | $0.290 | $1.49 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 10.13 | $0.465 | $4.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 10.07 | $0.645 | $6.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 18.97 | $0.890 | $16.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 11.03 | $0.890 | $9.82 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.200 | $0.36 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?Yes | sell | 6.46 | $0.060 | $0.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 15.57 | $0.760 | $11.83 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.030 | $1.48 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 14.43 | $0.760 | $10.97 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.030 | $0.15 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 30.57 | $0.100 | $3.06 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.021 | $1.29 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.021 | $1.26 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?Yes | sell | 6.1 | $0.410 | $2.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Yes | sell | 2.99 | $0.710 | $2.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?Yes | sell | 16.55 | $0.070 | $1.16 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Yes | sell | 9.53 | $0.700 | $6.67 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Yes | sell | 14.44 | $0.710 | $10.25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Yes | sell | 20.47 | $0.700 | $14.33 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.190 | $0.17 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.55 | $0.230 | $0.82 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 19.84 | $0.730 | $14.48 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.290 | $0.06 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.97 | $0.500 | $4.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 22.71 | $0.850 | $19.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 10.26 | $0.850 | $8.72 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.749 | $0.07 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Yes | sell | 10.78 | $0.059 | $0.64 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |