Analytics
Crimson Kestrel EEA2 has made $319.26 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.250 | $21.9 | +$14.4 |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-21 10:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 20:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 20:53 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-21 10:45 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.41K and losing ones cost $171.29 across the latest 50 settled positions. 88% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $100.92 on “Will Trump and Putin not meet?” (Yes); the largest loss, $59.74 on “Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 330 markets. Its open positions are worth $275.4 across 112 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.083 |
| $20.43 |
| +$17.93 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.016 | $20.25 | +$19.77 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $19.05 | +$4.05 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $15.45 | +$0.45 |
 Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO? | Yes | 30 | $0.063 | $12.92 | +$11.04 |
 Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? | Yes | 34.56 | $0.028 | $12.1 | +$11.14 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX? | Yes | 48.1 | $0.028 | $11.23 | +$9.9 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 25.11 | $0.500 | $10.17 | -$2.39 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 57.73 | $0.500 | $9.81 | -$19.05 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.016 | $9.57 | +$8.6 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $8.18 | -$6.83 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AAGI? | Yes | 30 | $0.028 | $7.25 | +$6.41 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT? | Yes | 30.01 | $0.028 | $7.13 | +$6.29 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.100 | $6.9 | +$3.9 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.028 | $6.25 | +$5.86 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.100 | $5.94 | +$4.06 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? | Yes | 79.88 | $0.083 | $5.79 | -$0.87 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 37.85 | $0.016 | $5.49 | +$4.88 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 15.46 | $0.071 | $5.33 | +$4.23 |
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO? | Yes | 10.8 | $0.500 | $4.22 | -$1.18 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1900.00 and 1999.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.100 | $3.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? | Yes | 20 | $0.071 | $3.56 | +$2.13 |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.083 | $3.24 | -$1.76 |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.083 | $2.97 | -$4.53 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
