Analytics
Yes is at 50.5%, up 9 points from 41.5% when the market opened on 27 Jan 2026.
Across the 261 daily closes on record from 27 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 14.5% on 28 Jan 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 52.5%; a month before, 44.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 58% on 5 Mar 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)”.
$2.75K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $264.14, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 197 trades, $452.98 bought Yes and $749.88 bought No.
The largest Yes position is FlashTradeOracle with 224 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 80.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 62 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 261 points, 27 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | 41.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.18K |
| FlashTradeOracle | Yes | 224.46 |
| Sir-Deadlock-a-Lot | Yes | 160.08 |
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/argentina-official-usd-exchange-rate-end-of-2026-higher-brackets
| alvarogzgz1 | Yes | 148.66 |
| happyjoyjoy | Yes | 79.92 |
| win-at-all-cost | Yes | 77 |
| AnCap.Investor | No | 69.25 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 62.91 |
| marcelobravo | Yes | 58.09 |
| 0xDolphin | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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