Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 160.08 | $0.332 | $65.63 | +$12.47 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 68.82 |
| $0.130 |
| $11.7 |
| +$2.75 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 95.63 | $0.120 | $9.56 | -$1.91 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.060 | $8.08 | +$7.48 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 189 | $0.120 | $6.62 | -$16.12 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 155 | $0.095 | $6.43 | -$8.29 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 407 | $0.050 | $3.05 | -$17.3 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 75 | $0.256 | $3 | -$16.2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 62.41 | $0.046 | $2.75 | -$0.12 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 98.29 | $0.060 | $2.65 | -$3.24 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 109.89 | $0.133 | $2.42 | -$12.22 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 154.33 | $0.415 | $1.85 | -$62.28 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20.66 | $0.064 | $1.49 | +$0.16 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.090 | $1.31 | -$0.04 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 94.54 | $0.019 | $0.99 | -$0.8 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 0.19 | $0.208 | $0.06 | +$0.02 |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.05 | -$4.95 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.070 | $0.04 | -$1.09 |
 Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.03 | -$4.98 |
 Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.02 | -$4.99 |
 Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.02 | -$4.99 |
 Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.01 | -$4.99 |
 Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.01 | -$5 |
 Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.01 | -$5 |
 Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.01 | -$5 |
| sell |
| 80.2 |
| $0.100 |
| $8.02 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.144 | $2.88 | 4d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.430 | $30.1 | 4d ago |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.001 | $0.12 | 4d ago |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.001 | $0.12 | 4d ago |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 120.86 | $0.001 | $0.12 | 4d ago |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 120.86 | $0.004 | $0.48 | 4d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 120.86 | $0.929 | $112.28 | 4d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 25.02 | $0.577 | $14.43 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 26.61 | $0.400 | $10.64 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.400 | $2.55 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Toulon win?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the match end in a draw?Yes | buy | 19.7 | $0.049 | $0.96 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Leinster win?No | buy | 81.12 | $0.300 | $24.34 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Leinster win?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.230 | $0.01 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 3?No | buy | 26.51 | $0.570 | $15.11 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 3?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?No | buy | 38 | $0.650 | $24.7 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes | buy | 11.26 | $0.005 | $0.06 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No | buy | 4 | $0.990 | $3.96 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes | buy | 11.26 | $0.029 | $0.33 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.092 | $2.76 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?No | buy | 29.51 | $0.039 | $1.15 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?No | buy | 41.71 | $0.039 | $1.63 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?No | sell | 114.3 | $0.999 | $114.19 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia PotapovaMarta Kostyuk | buy | 39 | $0.920 | $35.88 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia PotapovaAnastasia Potapova | buy | 39.3 | $0.130 | $5.11 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes | buy | 40.1 | $0.160 | $6.42 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on May 1?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.500 | $24 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on May 1?Yes | buy | 0.32 | $0.330 | $0.11 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 307 | $0.050 | $15.35 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 318 | $0.090 | $28.62 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 326 | $0.690 | $224.94 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 62.41 | $0.046 | $2.87 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 94.54 | $0.019 | $1.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 68.82 | $0.130 | $8.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 31.69 | $0.057 | $1.79 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.160 | $3.22 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 1?No | buy | 37.01 | $0.740 | $27.39 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 1?No | buy | 40.01 | $0.630 | $25.21 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 1?No | buy | 11.26 | $0.960 | $10.81 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on May 1?Yes | buy | 0.68 | $0.710 | $0.48 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.340 | $4.42 | Apr 29, 2026 |