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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 71.98 | $0.908 | $68.56 | +$3.19 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.048 | $2.77 | 14d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 71.24 |
| $0.852 |
| $56.63 |
| -$4.07 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.870 | $46.25 | +$2.75 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 41.51 | $0.925 | $40.82 | +$2.42 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.880 | $39.16 | +$3.96 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.868 | $37.14 | +$2.4 |
 Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | No | 42.52 | $0.625 | $36.36 | +$9.79 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | No | 97.8 | $0.479 | $33.74 | -$13.1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 70.66 | $0.318 | $32.4 | +$9.9 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 81.33 | $0.777 | $30.5 | -$32.7 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 32.82 | $0.780 | $30.36 | +$4.76 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 30 | $0.950 | $29.63 | +$1.13 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026? | No | 27.73 | $0.878 | $26.48 | +$2.13 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.901 | $26 | -$1.03 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 48.04 | $0.416 | $25.22 | +$5.22 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | No | 30 | $0.850 | $24.62 | -$0.89 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 58.09 | $0.420 | $23.82 | -$0.61 |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Yes | 31.75 | $0.630 | $22.86 | +$2.86 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 28.16 | $0.749 | $20.13 | -$0.97 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%? | No | 20 | $0.950 | $19.95 | +$0.95 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | No | 35 | $0.610 | $19.93 | -$1.42 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 20 | $0.900 | $19.8 | +$1.8 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $19.66 | +$1.66 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.951 | $19.5 | +$0.48 |
 Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $19 | +$1 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.840 |
| $8.4 |
| 15d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.901 | $27.03 | 15d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?No | sell | 20 | $0.992 | $19.84 | 15d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.949 | $9.49 | 15d ago |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?No | sell | 70 | $0.998 | $69.86 | 15d ago |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 19d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | 19d ago |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 19d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | 19d ago |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 19d ago |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No | sell | 9.11 | $0.972 | $8.85 | 19d ago |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 20d ago |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?No | buy | 20 | $0.925 | $18.5 | 22d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?No | buy | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | 22d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No | buy | 11.22 | $0.891 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.171 | $2.57 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.887 | $17.74 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.939 | $14.08 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.949 | $18.98 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.150 | $10.05 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 15 | $0.740 | $11.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.074 | $7.39 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?No | buy | 35 | $0.610 | $21.35 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?No | buy | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.698 | $6.98 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?No | buy | 16.87 | $0.889 | $15 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.579 | $49.79 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 7.81 | $0.630 | $4.92 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 98.43 | $0.051 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 51.55 | $0.582 | $30 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.948 | $28.43 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 34.36 | $0.582 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No | buy | 25.89 | $0.773 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.960 | $28.79 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No | buy | 25.93 | $0.771 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?No | buy | 27.17 | $0.736 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 42.22 | $0.410 | $17.31 | Jul 13, 2026 |