Latest trade
Jan 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:16 AM UTC.
Analytics
LawrenceSophia is down $2.32 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:16 AM UTC.
$0.4 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Aug 5, 2024 UTC to Jan 8, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.680 | $1.77 | Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-19 03:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 10:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 10:16 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-19 03:06 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.33 and losing ones cost $6.69 across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.83 on “Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.85 on “Will Tammy Duckworth be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Jan 2025. It has traded 58 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2.95 |
| $0.950 |
| $2.8 |
| Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.894 | $1.12 | Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.983 | $2.1 | Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.920 | $1.51 | Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
 Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.977 | $2.43 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 0.24 | $0.985 | $0.24 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.880 | $0.45 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.36 | $0.580 | $0.21 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
 New Netherlands election called in 2024?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.920 | $0.25 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will Marija Selak Raspudić be the next President of Croatia?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.992 | $1.33 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.31 | $0.800 | $0.25 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 0.68 | $0.996 | $0.68 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?No | buy | 0.84 | $0.740 | $0.62 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | buy | 0.25 | $0.840 | $0.21 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 Cops who arrested Tyreek Hill fired?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.949 | $0.22 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?No | buy | 0.58 | $0.570 | $0.33 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will threadguy interview Trump before October?No | buy | 0.47 | $0.550 | $0.26 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Brazil unban X before October?Yes | sell | 1.22 | $0.520 | $0.63 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.98 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.976 | $0.25 | Sep 14, 2024 UTC |
| Will Brazil unban X before October?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.180 | $0.22 | Sep 14, 2024 UTC |
 Will Speed/Kai give up on challenge before Saturday?No | buy | 0.49 | $0.999 | $0.49 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Crimean bridge hit before September?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.950 | $0.25 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Breece Hall be the top Fantasy Running Back?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.850 | $0.61 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.960 | $0.24 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Ben Gvir out as Israel Minister of National Security by August 31?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.970 | $1.13 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?Yes | sell | 1.27 | $0.940 | $1.19 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will J. B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | sell | 11.91K | $0.001 | $11.91 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?No | buy | 0.25 | $0.630 | $0.16 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 0.21 | $0.978 | $0.21 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Iran Nuke in 2024?No | buy | 0.59 | $0.870 | $0.51 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
| Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.950 | $1.21 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Israel military action against Iran in August?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.700 | $0.37 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by August 31?No | buy | 0.52 | $0.850 | $0.44 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Iran military response by Monday?Yes | buy | 0.45 | $0.800 | $0.36 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Tammy Duckworth be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.001 | $1.85 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris go on Hot Ones by August 31?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.870 | $0.15 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala flip Trump in the polls in August?Yes | buy | 0.16 | $0.830 | $0.13 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump and Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 0.15 | $0.810 | $0.12 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?Yes | buy | 0.22 | $0.770 | $0.17 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.986 | $0.16 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.840 | $0.12 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will J. B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 11.91K | $0.001 | $11.91 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?Yes | buy | 0.19 | $0.840 | $0.16 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.900 | $0.15 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.15 | $0.720 | $0.11 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.170 | $0.46 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick before DNC?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 $PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$PEPE | sell | 1.4 | $0.520 | $0.73 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.