Will Marija Selak Raspudić be the next President of Croatia?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 13, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$342.7K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 13, 2025 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 21 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 54 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2024 to 13 Jan 2025, the highest close was 1.5% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2024. $342.74K traded over the market's life.

79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 7:43 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 21 Nov 2024 – 13 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Nov 2024	1.1%
13 Jan 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	177.05K
Gyusi	Yes	10K
SanCristo	Yes	7.22K

10 of 79 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections will be held in Croatia on December 29, 2024. A second round will be held on 12 January 2025 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marija Selak Raspudić wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Croatian government, specifically the State Election Commission of the Republic of Croatia (https://www.izbori.hr/site/).