Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 24 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 24 Aug 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 7.5% on 24 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Sep 2024. $95.33K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 7:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 24 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2024 | 7.5% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Psychotrading | Yes | 23.24 |
| neternifi1978 | No | 0.25 |
| atsuptiwork1973 | No | 0.2 |
| quetepotu1986 | No | 0.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Crimean Bridge (Kerch Bridge) is the subject of a kinetic strike between August 21 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Missile/drone strikes which are shot down or don't hit the bridge will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crimean-bridge-hit-before-september
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| prefsarroyhel1971 | No | 0.18 |
| bubbdajarli1986 | No | 0.17 |
| agmimulle1976 | No | 0.16 |
| rempdanmama1975 | No | 0.15 |
| extelina1977 | No | 0.1 |
| geobronidim1983 | No | 0.1 |
