Latest trade
Apr 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:33 PM UTC.
Analytics
hokusai is down $57.55 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 26 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:33 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 41 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Dec 18, 2025 UTC to Apr 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 51.28 | $0.390 | $15.9 | -$4.1 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 75.41 | $0.252 | $19 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-09 14:18 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 17:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 17:33 UTC
polymarket positions
27 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-09 14:18 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $166.65 and losing ones cost $5.21 across 26 settled positions. 76.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $36.64 on “Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?” (No); the largest loss, $1 on “US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Apr 2026. It has traded 79 markets. Its open positions are worth $20.73 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 75.65 |
| $0.198 |
| $3.1 |
| -$11.9 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.150 | $1.73 | -$8.27 |
| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 74.62 | $0.209 | $15.6 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?No | buy | 105.88 | $0.850 | $90 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 94.33 | $0.137 | $12.92 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.078 | $4 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.114 | $4 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 13.99 | $0.715 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.210 | $6 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.772 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike eight countries in March?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.09 | $0.293 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.510 | $6 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.947 | $11.98 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.134 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.053 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.970 | $24.87 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | sell | 8.51 | $0.909 | $7.74 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.230 | $4.79 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.587 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.98 | $0.892 | $11.57 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Christmas Eve service member calls?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
| Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 112.7 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.077 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.