Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 51.28 | $0.390 | $10.77 | -$9.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 75.41 | $0.252 | $19 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 75.65 |
| $0.198 |
| $4.16 |
| -$10.84 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.150 | $2.1 | -$7.9 |
| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 74.62 | $0.209 | $15.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?No | buy | 105.88 | $0.850 | $90 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 94.33 | $0.137 | $12.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.078 | $4 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.114 | $4 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 13.99 | $0.715 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.210 | $6 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.772 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike eight countries in March?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.09 | $0.293 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.510 | $6 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.947 | $11.98 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.134 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.053 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.970 | $24.87 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | sell | 8.51 | $0.909 | $7.74 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.230 | $4.79 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.587 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.98 | $0.892 | $11.57 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Christmas Eve service member calls?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 112.7 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.077 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |