Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 15 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 172 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 16.5% on 27 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 16% on 13 Nov 2025. $244.69K traded over the market's life.
156 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 172 points, 15 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2025 | 8.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nolyx | Yes | 10.77K |
| Patronis23 | Yes | 10.49K |
| 0kok | Yes | 4.15K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Donald Trump has visited visited Little Saint James by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Trump on the island. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/evidence-trump-went-to-epsteins-island-made-public-in-2025
| Stained-Silicon | Yes | 2.35K |
| hulinada | Yes | 1.99K |
| Zijp | Yes | 1.92K |
| Sydhavn | Yes | 1.83K |
| SkillzThatKillz | Yes | 1K |
| Anguished-Tactile | Yes | 908.5 |
| pompeytom | Yes | 800 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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