Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 26 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 26 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 26 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 18% on 27 Dec 2025. $185.96K traded over the market's life.
96 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 26 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | 44.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ajmaaa | Yes | 3.04K |
| Soupy-Booking | Yes | 1.1K |
| chubba | Yes | 1K |
| siick | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clavicular-charged-by-jan-31
| Keen Oracle 60E1 | Yes | 899.98 |
| Rapid Maven 4F51 | Yes | 814.28 |
| Nouveau | Yes | 686.22 |
| Swagman12 | Yes | 612.57 |
| Ludoman-13 | Yes | 500 |
| Minecraft | Yes | 465.99 |
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