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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 71.28K | $0.940 | $67K | Dec 30, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.75K |
| $0.973 |
| $1.7K |
| Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 103.22K | $0.679 | $70.14K | Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 103.22K | $0.910 | $93.93K | Dec 26, 2025 |
Rockets vs. LakersRockets | buy | 31.84 | $0.991 | $31.55 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 10.79K | $0.881 | $9.51K | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 27.66K | $0.920 | $25.44K | Dec 4, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 22.34K | $0.940 | $21K | Nov 26, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.65K | $0.530 | $5.64K | Nov 25, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.83K | $0.702 | $1.29K | Nov 25, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.43K | $0.592 | $6.77K | Nov 25, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.27K | $0.192 | $817.83 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 62.41 | $0.161 | $10.03 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.83K | $0.763 | $1.4K | Nov 25, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 219.13 | $0.927 | $203.13 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 18.64K | $0.271 | $5.06K | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 5.79K | $0.353 | $2.04K | Nov 23, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 29.71K | $0.460 | $13.67K | Nov 18, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 24.84K | $0.490 | $12.17K | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.56K | $0.700 | $7.39K | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.450 | $795.77 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 290.21K | $0.996 | $289.01K | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes | buy | 16.31K | $0.920 | $15K | Nov 5, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.27K | $0.710 | $8K | Nov 5, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.44K | $0.710 | $28K | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 72.5K | $0.960 | $69.6K | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 70.2K | $0.945 | $66.35K | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.77K | $0.905 | $2.5K | Oct 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.41K | $0.696 | $17K | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.99K | $0.887 | $6.2K | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.05K | $0.455 | $1.84K | Oct 29, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 113.14 | $0.290 | $32.81 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.983 | $2.32K | Oct 28, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 924.09 | $0.201 | $185.42 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.68K | $0.502 | $1.35K | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.908 | $2.34K | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 55.92K | $0.905 | $50.6K | Oct 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 94.12K | $0.981 | $92.33K | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 9.09K | $0.953 | $8.67K | Oct 27, 2025 |
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 22.95K | $0.108 | $2.48K | Oct 27, 2025 |
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 22.95K | $0.242 | $5.56K | Oct 27, 2025 |
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 139 | $0.700 | $97.3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 33.83K | $0.983 | $33.26K | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 965.6 | $0.917 | $885.46 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.640 | $3.2K | Oct 16, 2025 |
Blackhawks vs. BluesBlackhawks | buy | 110 | $0.910 | $100.1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.310 | $39.06 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 137.78 | $0.280 | $38.58 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Oct 15, 2025 |